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Author Topic: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.  (Read 1293 times)

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Milspec

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Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« on: August 02, 2018, 02:46:26 pm »

The UK just published a bio security paper which may be of interest to some preppers.

This is the link.

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It has a risk matrix of likelihood vs consequence which shows an official view on how various threats stack up.
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OzHippy

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2018, 05:37:45 pm »

Bio-weapons are a very real possibility.  A means to destroy and country and its people without damaging infrastructure and a very cheap compared to conventional weapons and extended conflicts. 


Last weak Congo was declared Ebola free. Just yesterday new cases positively identified in a different area, is it under control!!


Congo declares new Ebola outbreak with four confirmed cases in eastern province
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« Last Edit: August 03, 2018, 07:25:14 am by OzHippy »
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We live in interesting times!!

Hoopy

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2018, 08:00:37 pm »

I'd sure like to know how they are delivering the ebola virus...I've always believed it is man made and tested periodically … a tweak here one there and they'll get it right soon enough.
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Hoopy

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2018, 08:54:55 am »

Just 10 odd min's... I really like some of "ReallyGracefull" U-tube stuff as it's not conspiracy stuff but rather a good bit of research content.Nobody has to believe in my theories but biological warfare is nothing new but definitely more nefarious now than it ever was.

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« Last Edit: September 04, 2018, 08:57:48 am by Hoopy »
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Milspec

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2018, 09:02:36 am »

For anyone intetested The WHO maintains a daily "disease outbreak news" page which reports disease outbreaks across the world. They also maintain pages on avian influenza news. Those pages are useful for keeping things in perspective against reporting in the general media which can be hyped up at times.
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Red

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2018, 10:01:15 am »

I've always been a bit sceptical of the seriousness of ebola. If it really was that highly contagious why hasn't it spread to other parts of the world? Let's face it, there's no real way to stop it from spreading across the African continent if it was that bad.
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rwa

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2018, 06:44:37 pm »

"The Hot Zone" by Richard Preston is an excellent book on Ebola. The outbreaks, the various strains  (Zaire, Reston, Sudan, Marburg etc, named after the areas in which they were isolated) and just what it is. Ebola is a "Filovirus" a worm like strand of part known, part (still) unknown substance that is similar to AIDS, Rabies (Ebola was once known as "Stretched Rabies").

Ebola is a real honker in the parts of Africa where it breaks out due to climate, habits of the population, living conditions, personal habits. It sounds like it has the potential to be a slate wiper (a term used frequently in the book) and in certain areas of some countries it has but it really does not have the ability to burn through the Western World to any great degree. It would be tough for those who got it of course.

Ebola Zaire is over 80% fatal to those who get it and treatment is pretty much limited to keeping up fluids and hoping the sufferer cures themselves.
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Hoopy

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2018, 09:22:22 pm »

I think the fact that every strain is different in such a short time span points to manipulation/tweeking...so what is it are the bats creating different strains within their colonies , apparently.The various mutations would be out of sync to the norm considering they just pop up in different areas and are all slightly different in severity or make-up.

Anyway it goes mad shyintists are making bio virus's WTF is that all about if not funded by special intrest groups...They make 'em test 'em and store 'em.Similar to aids and rabies 'eh...what about the coincedence in that. 
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sea-dove

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #8 on: September 30, 2018, 03:57:38 pm »

You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login
The UK just published a bio security paper which may be of interest to some preppers.

This is the link.

You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login

It has a risk matrix of likelihood vs consequence which shows an official view on how various threats stack up.

Epidemics no matter how they are caused will always be a risk, hence I keep some preps for that kind of scenario.  Probably the best thing one could do though in an epidemic is completely isolate oneself and wait till the outbreak is over.
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doomsdayprepper4570

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #9 on: September 30, 2018, 04:42:37 pm »

Stay out of africa and amercia is best bet!
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sea-dove

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2018, 05:00:20 pm »

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Stay out of africa and amercia is best bet!

Being in a more civilized place may not be helpful much if a dangerous epidemic actually takes hold. Our hospital systems dont cope well even now. They will probably be telling people not to go to the hospital within weeks.
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doomsdayprepper4570

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Re: Scenario likelihood - from recent UK biosecurity study.
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2018, 08:28:50 am »

It got to amercia and was not contained for nearly 6 months.
If it gets here who the fug knows what will happen?
Parliment house in canberra would be the best place to test it and try contain it.  :o ;D
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